Canalys forecasts that 7.5 million smart watches with cellular connectivity will ship in 2016, rising to 53.6 million in 2020. This represents a compound annual growth rate of 63% from 2016 to 2020. In the short term, shipments are likely to be driven by a new Apple Watch with cellular connectivity. Samsung and LG have been very aggressive in bringing new cellular technologies to market, with smart watches such as the Gear S2 classic 3G/4G and the Watch Urbane 2nd Edition LTE, and will also play significant roles. Both the Tizen and Android Wear smart watch platforms already support cellular connectivity.

‘The phase 2 eSIM specification will enable more independent smart watches with a smoother user experience around cellular connectivity. Users will soon be able to easily choose among cellular providers and pay for monthly service,’ said Daniel Matte, Analyst. ‘Many more smart watches with LTE and GPS/GNSS will also be released this year, thanks to the availability of new LTE Category 1 chipsets.’

After a full year of availability, these new technologies will have the biggest impact on shipments in 2017. Integration of additional health and fitness sensors, expanded activity tracking and battery life improvements will further drive smart watch growth over the next few years. Though hardware and software constraints have limited growth until now, the app ecosystems around watchOS and Android Wear will accelerate over the medium term.

Smart watch forecast data is taken from Canalys’ Wearable Technology Analysis service, which provides quarterly market tracking, including country-level estimates. Canalys defines smart watches as multi-purpose devices that serve as accessories to smart devices, are designed to be wrapped around the body and not carried, run an operating system and are capable of running third-party computing applications.

If you are interested in further information, please contact us:

  • Canalys Americas: +1 650 681 4488

Daniel Matte: daniel_matte@canalys.com +1 650 384 9733
Chris Jones: 
chris_jones@canalys.com +1 650 450 1513

  • Canalys APAC: +65 6671 9399 (Singapore) / +86 21 2225 2888 (China)

Jason Low: jason_low@canalys.com +86 159 2128 2971 (China)
Nicole Peng: 
nicole_peng@canalys.com +86 150 2186 8330 (China)

  • Canalys EMEA: +44 118 984 0520

Joe Kempton: joe_kempton@canalys.com +44 7827 957 372

About Canalys

Canalys is an independent analyst company that strives to guide clients on the future of the technology industry and to think beyond the business models of the past. We deliver smart market insights to IT, channel and service provider professionals around the world. Our customer-driven analysis and consulting services empower businesses to make informed decisions and generate sales. We stake our reputation on the quality of our data, our innovative use of technology and our high level of customer service.

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